As is often the case with us here in BC, the Wild West of Canada, we’re not always in sync with the rest of the country… and since the majority of people reading this are in BC, I’ve added a whole new set of data and graph… which is us… British Columbia.
I haven’t been following closely other province’s responses. Nationally, yes. BC, yes. But I’m not sure when Ontario or Quebec locked things down, nor the manner in which they did it. The reason that’s relevant is that while we’re seeing some not-so-great numbers out of Quebec today, the last few days here in BC paint a better picture.
We’re still over a week away from seeing the direct impact of the social-distancing order, and numbers will indeed increase between now and then… but the manner in which they increase is important, and for the moment, at least around here, it looks pretty good. The growth is linear, not exponential. At least for now. It’s evident in the BC graph, and it’s very evident when compared to the rest of Canada, which overall continues to pretty accurately track where the US was 10 days ago.
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Thank you for the time and effort you put into this.. Its very much appreciated.
I look forward to seeing these every time you post
Looking at the steepness of the US curve relative to Italy makes me get all pensive about the consequences of spending 4 or 5 weeks telling everyone it’s going to maybe disappear like a miracle.
This is because of #wexit isn’t it?
AB locked down about a week ago, we just saw a huge jump in cases today because someone infected an old folks home – about 50 new presumptive cases is what the news said. We have high numbers (I believe 3rd highest in the country) but all of the cases until this past few days have been travel related.
I wonder how much of the pulse of cases is based on processing tests, compared to actual infections. They believe they’ve caught up with testing now… we might see stability in the trend from here.
They are no where near testing accurately. I was told by a GP that they are only testing health care workers and those currently in hospital. That means almost no community testing. The NYT decided to stop tracking confirmed cases because testing is so varied. I think they are correct that the only reliable measure (hashem be merciful) is by death. BTW Israel is remarkable in that there are only 3 death in the country from this disease
I’ve not met you, Horatio, but I’ve an unapologetic crush on you. I’ve been charting but your layout has achieved what mine has not. I’m sharing, and I take no responsibility for folks asking you out for coffee in, like August.
Thanks for doing this.
I wish there was data for presumptive / suspected / probable cases – because accurate testing is just not happening.
Perhaps a call in or email hub. I know folks who seem to have enough of the probable symptoms – tho mild, sound probable. And that info would help clarify the magnitude.
Fascinating Horatio, thank you!
thank you Horatio.
Thank you Horatio!