We will leave the “South of the border political bashing” for a day and focus on ourselves.
The little charts that I post below the numbers had become relatively useless, as we’re so far into this pandemic that the logarithmic representations no longer meant much. It would have taken some drastic movement to have made any difference.
So… what you see now is simply a representation of daily new cases, along with a moving average to smooth out the trend.
Looking at B.C., and listening to Dr. Henry… here’s the deal; we’re hearing pretty much what we were hearing the last two weeks of March, when I started writing these daily reports… so I will go back to saying exactly what I was saying back then: It’s up to us.
We flattened this thing out, and now, the nonchalance may be catching up to us, but it’s not too late. Summer, parties, The Interior™… I get it. Anyone who grew up anywhere in B.C. gets it. Except perhaps some of the younger people, who have come to the conclusion that being outdoors, and being young, mitigates the risk to an acceptable level. It doesn’t. You can catch it, and you can give it to others… and with more than 100 cases over the weekend and Dr. Henry warning that we’re at the edge of “explosive growth” – that should hit home.
She made it a point of mentioning the younger people, and even made a plea to all of those younger people so adept at managing their social media; get the word out. Take this seriously. Social distance. Wear a mask.
Hopefully many of them do exactly that. My daughter will be blasting something out to the 10,000 or so followers that she has distributed among her social networks, and hopefully from there it’ll further propagate when all of those people do the same.
Indeed, getting the word out exponentially isn’t that hard to do. And that’s the only exponential thing we should hope to see around here. Or anywhere.
If you look at the now-more-useful graphs, you’ll see some definite trends… Quebec had a huge problem, resolved it, but needs to be careful… there’s a slow, gradual uphill in the making. Ontario seems to be trending downward and holding. And B.C…. well, you can see it pretty clearly… and that’s not the direction we want to continue. The same can be said for Canada overall.
And the U.S….? Pull up Trump’s interview with Chris Wallace from yesterday. Have a look at that graph. There’s little more to say.
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From many conversations I can tell that our younger citizens, like those in the US, see their jobs and futures (and summer2020) disappearing because of a virus that they don’t think is especially dangerous TO THEM (if at all). Add to this the fact that many of them are getting paid more than they have ever made before (by the Feds, to do nothing) and beach parties, pool parties, etc are inevitable, no?
Oh, and south of 49, TRUMP needs to get it together soon! The Federal government needs to take over Covid and HE needs to put together the BEST team he can to direct the effort. America has succeeded at bigger challenges in the past. He needs to step up!!
Thank you for the change of graphs,they now give a useful visual again.
The HK Daily Report (1.23 min read)
Is it fair to say that when you are able to suppress infections to the extent we have, and the fact that BC is not hermetically sealed, the only way is ‘up’? I think this curve falls within the range of expected uptick right? Again, today I walked around commercial and went into shops and anecdotally it seems there is mask adoption by a significant minority. I think we’re ready for a mandated mask policy that will be widely adopted and in combination with test & trace I hope we can manage this.
I think there is a fundamental issue Dr. Henry And Minister Dix are not addressing and we aren’t all acknowledging. The population is exhausted and trying to do the right thing is never enough. You need to balance ‘don’t’ with some inspiration. At some point, which I think we are close, people will throw their hands up, regardless of the numbers. Now that may be tempered because as Canadians we want to do the right thing.. but there is a lot of ‘don’t’ flying at the population. There certainly isn’t a magic answer, and for sure this isn’t easy, but the messaging can’t be all stick, there needs to be some carrot, regardless of age group. Dr. Henry and Minister Dix have built political capital and done a good job. I think we are at a moment when the words need to be adjusted. The hammer is always there.
Well to emphaSize the point about the young getting it a family acquaintance was scheduled to be married in Baltimore. The wedding was cancelled but the stag was non refundable so the groom and his buddies went off to party. They all came back home with CoVid and were having an easy time of it but about day 8 the 31 year old groom didn’t wake up. RIP.
And my relative’s husband is thanking her profusely for being told that if he went he would NOT be coming home.
Talking with a doctor about c-19 and she suggests that we should forget about ‘normal’ for at least 4 years. Given the potential for virus to mutate multiple times and the other human factors. I think the professionals in the field, never mind the politicians, don’t really want to talk about the more than likely scenario that we are going to need to live in this new normal way for quite a while yet. Don’t kill the messenger.