The only thing hotter than the infernal weather is… the anticipation for this week’s contest!
Yes, indeed… it’s that time again… and, perhaps, for the last time… because given how the numbers are looking, pretty soon we’ll be at the point where there are 3x as many people guessing as there are reasonable guesses. This is, of course, a great thing. Here are the daily new case averages for recent weeks:
Today: +74
Last week: +104
Two weeks ago: +161
Three weeks ago: +210
A month ago: +315
Beautiful trend… so what’s our three-day total going to look like? Guess way… the contest is open from now till noon tomorrow – and, as usual, apart from the coveted bragging rights, $100 to the charity of choice to whoever is first in guessing closest to the actual total.
If you were to base it on recent averages, 3 x 74 = 222… a number that would’ve counted, on its own, as a good day a month ago. Exponential growth? Now we’re dealing with exponential decay. Beautiful.
Guess away, good luck… and with respect to these numbers dropping drastically, let’s hope the outside temperatures also follow suit…
51!
125
137
140
169
180
186
174
177
212
189
115
196
150
193
153
171
How about this? How are you making a guess as follows:
What percentage of new cases come from 1. fully vaccinated people; 2. partially vaccinated people, and 3. not vaccinated people?
This would be a true guess because the government is not telling us this. Nor are journalists asking this question. I guess good news doesn’t sell
130
182
155
185
157
151
189
164
187
Camille says 182 (she loves your contest!) 💜🤗
142
143
175
144
152
201
181